Premier Playoffs Final
Global 2-1
Ufa vs Tom Tomsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
18.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ufa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2019 |
LOK
1 - 0
UFA
70%
20%
10%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
UFA
0 - 2
GAZ
40%
28%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
SPA
1 - 0
UFA
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
KRS
1 - 1
UFA
44%
29%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
UFA
4 - 1
URA
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Tom Tomsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2019 |
FAK
0 - 0
TOM
29%
28%
43%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
TOM
2 - 1
SPA
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
YAR
1 - 0
TOM
40%
29%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
TOM
1 - 0
AVA
47%
28%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
SOC
3 - 1
TOM
70%
20%
10%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |