Ufa II vs Zvezda Perm II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
8.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
7º
7º
14
9º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 34 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
14 | 17 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 17 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ufa II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SKO
0 - 0
UFA
36%
22%
42%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
UFA
3 - 0
IRT
73%
15%
12%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
TOB
2 - 0
UFA
52%
21%
27%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FAS
1 - 0
UFA
12%
16%
72%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
UFA
11 - 1
FTM
92%
6%
2%
|
23 | 5 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Zvezda Perm II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SZP
2 - 0
FTM
89%
8%
3%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FII
3 - 0
SZP
89%
8%
4%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SZP
1 - 2
FKT
27%
21%
52%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FMA
6 - 1
SZP
88%
9%
4%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
SZP
2 - 2
FCC
14%
18%
68%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | +1 |