Q. Europa League 1ra Ronda Final
Global 1-4
UE Santa Coloma vs Zrinjski Mostar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
26.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UE Santa Coloma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
UES
3 - 2
SJU
42%
23%
35%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
SCO
0 - 3
UES
38%
23%
39%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
UES
3 - 0
SCO
32%
22%
46%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
UES
7 - 1
PRI
77%
14%
9%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
PRI
0 - 1
UES
12%
16%
72%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Zrinjski Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
VEL
1 - 1
ZRI
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
ZRI
2 - 2
SAR
33%
28%
40%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
OSA
0 - 0
ZRI
48%
27%
24%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
ZRI
2 - 1
GRD
79%
15%
6%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
RUD
4 - 1
ZRI
39%
26%
36%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |