UE Santa Coloma vs Penya Encarnada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
3º
7º
4º
12
4º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 56 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 52 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 51 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
33.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 45 |
5º
|
34.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 37 |
6º
|
58.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 32 |
7º
|
39% | |
|
|
8º
|
12 | 32 |
8º
|
45% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 13 |
9º
|
61.5% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 10 |
10º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
5.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
12% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
82.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UE Santa Coloma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ESA
0 - 5
UES
21%
23%
56%
|
65 | 34 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
UES
5 - 0
LAM
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 0
UES
48%
24%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
UES
2 - 1
PEN
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
INT
3 - 2
UES
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 0
PAC
48%
23%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
INT
5 - 1
PEN
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 6
FCR
60%
20%
20%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
UES
2 - 1
PEN
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 0
FCO
65%
19%
16%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |