Quart vs Cal Aguido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
25.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
QRT
3 - 1
SAU
26%
21%
53%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
BEG
3 - 0
QRT
35%
23%
42%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
QRT
1 - 1
SVI
46%
22%
33%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
QRT
1 - 1
VIL
33%
23%
45%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 1
QRT
67%
17%
16%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cal Aguido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
FOR
5 - 0
CAG
70%
17%
14%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CAG
4 - 2
BOS
22%
22%
56%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
CAL
4 - 3
CAG
60%
20%
21%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CAG
1 - 4
BLA
28%
22%
51%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
PAL
0 - 1
CAG
66%
18%
16%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |