Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 2-3
UE Porreres vs SD Formentera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UE Porreres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
UEP
0 - 1
CLL
69%
20%
11%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
IBI
0 - 1
UEP
66%
21%
14%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
UEP
2 - 2
POR
55%
24%
20%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
ALA
2 - 2
UEP
38%
30%
32%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
UEP
1 - 0
ADC
51%
27%
22%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +3 |
Matches
SD Formentera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
SDF
0 - 3
CON
55%
25%
21%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
FLN
0 - 0
SDF
38%
30%
33%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
SDF
0 - 1
CDE
77%
16%
7%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
MLL
4 - 1
SDF
71%
19%
10%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
SDF
1 - 2
SAL
78%
15%
7%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | -1 |