Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-2
UE Olot vs FC Vilafranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UE Olot
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
OLO
1 - 3
FCA
61%
23%
17%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
VIL
1 - 1
OLO
61%
23%
16%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
OLO
3 - 0
CDM
68%
19%
13%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
IGU
2 - 0
OLO
60%
24%
16%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
OLO
2 - 0
GRA
60%
23%
17%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
FC Vilafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
UAH
3 - 2
VIL
72%
18%
11%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
VIL
1 - 1
OLO
61%
23%
16%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
ATL
4 - 0
VIL
66%
21%
14%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
VIL
0 - 1
REU
60%
24%
17%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
AND
3 - 0
VIL
72%
18%
10%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |