Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 4-5
Lleida vs Xerez CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
14.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lleida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1967 |
LLE
3 - 1
VAD
39%
29%
32%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1967 |
GIM
2 - 1
LLE
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1967 |
XER
3 - 0
LLE
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
LLE
0 - 2
DEP
32%
29%
39%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
OVI
2 - 0
LLE
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Xerez CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1967 |
XER
2 - 0
CON
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1967 |
REC
1 - 0
XER
66%
21%
14%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1967 |
XER
3 - 0
LLE
41%
26%
33%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
XER
3 - 3
CDT
37%
27%
36%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
XER
2 - 1
VAL
31%
26%
43%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | +1 |