Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 4-1
Lleida vs CE Sabadell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
33.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lleida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1978 |
LEV
3 - 0
LLE
78%
16%
7%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
LLE
5 - 1
ONT
71%
20%
9%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
SAB
0 - 0
LLE
81%
12%
7%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1978 |
SEV
1 - 0
LLE
64%
22%
14%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
LLE
5 - 0
OLI
61%
25%
15%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
CE Sabadell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
ALM
2 - 2
SAB
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
SAB
2 - 0
CAS
55%
25%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
SAB
0 - 0
LLE
81%
12%
7%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1978 |
RCF
0 - 0
SAB
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
SAB
0 - 1
BET
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |