Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 5-3
Lleida vs Reus Deportiu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lleida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
LLE
1 - 0
RJA
55%
27%
17%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
MER
1 - 1
LLE
35%
34%
31%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1980 |
XER
3 - 1
LLE
64%
23%
14%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1980 |
LLE
1 - 1
SFE
69%
22%
9%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1980 |
POR
2 - 0
LLE
53%
29%
19%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Reus Deportiu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
REU
1 - 0
JUP
64%
22%
15%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
GRA
1 - 3
REU
56%
25%
20%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1980 |
REU
2 - 0
BAD
70%
20%
11%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1980 |
CDM
1 - 3
REU
48%
27%
25%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1980 |
REU
4 - 1
GAV
70%
19%
11%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |