Lleida vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
3.47
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.9%
6.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lleida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1950 |
SPO
0 - 1
LLE
81%
12%
8%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
LLE
5 - 4
OSA
67%
17%
16%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
SAB
0 - 1
LLE
84%
10%
6%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
LLE
6 - 4
BAD
51%
20%
29%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
LLE
4 - 1
ORE
59%
20%
21%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1950 |
NUM
4 - 0
SDE
65%
17%
18%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
BAR
3 - 1
NUM
88%
7%
4%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
NUM
6 - 0
GIR
39%
25%
36%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | +3 |
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
ARO
2 - 1
NUM
59%
19%
21%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
RCF
4 - 0
NUM
87%
8%
5%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |