Lleida vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
17.5%
2-0
19.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.4%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
<0%
+1
23.9%
14%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
14%
4%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lleida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
GAN
1 - 0
LLE
34%
33%
34%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
LLE
2 - 1
CDT
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
BAL
0 - 1
LLE
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 May. 1986 |
FIG
0 - 2
LLE
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
LLE
3 - 1
LAL
79%
15%
5%
|
59 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
GRA
0 - 1
LUG
35%
28%
38%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
LUG
4 - 2
PBL
29%
33%
38%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
MLL
0 - 0
LUG
66%
22%
13%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
LUG
0 - 0
PON
30%
34%
37%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1986 |
ARE
2 - 1
LUG
26%
32%
42%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |