Lleida vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lleida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
CAS
0 - 1
LLE
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
LLE
1 - 0
FIG
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
PAL
0 - 2
LLE
32%
29%
39%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
LLE
1 - 1
LOR
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
MLL
2 - 1
LLE
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
HER
3 - 1
VIJ
56%
25%
19%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
ALI
2 - 1
HER
56%
24%
21%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
HER
0 - 1
NOV
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
GIR
0 - 0
HER
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
HER
0 - 0
YEC
65%
22%
13%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |