Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 6-2
Lleida vs Gimnàstic Tarragona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lleida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
LLE
3 - 1
SLA
55%
25%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
FCB
0 - 0
LLE
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1996 |
GIM
0 - 2
LLE
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
LLE
0 - 0
OSA
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
LLE
1 - 0
ATH
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
GIM
2 - 0
MME
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
ELC
2 - 2
GIM
57%
24%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1996 |
GIM
0 - 2
LLE
36%
27%
37%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
GIM
2 - 0
GAV
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 1996 |
GIM
2 - 2
CUL
67%
19%
14%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |