Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 2-3
Lleida vs Ciempozuelos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.1%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.6%
5.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lleida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
LIN
2 - 0
LLE
57%
28%
16%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
LLE
2 - 1
AGD
43%
28%
29%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1977 |
CIE
2 - 1
LLE
32%
25%
43%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
ONT
0 - 1
LLE
59%
26%
15%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
LLE
1 - 0
VIN
58%
25%
17%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ciempozuelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
MAN
1 - 0
CIE
63%
20%
17%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
CIE
1 - 0
ACF
73%
15%
12%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1977 |
CIE
2 - 1
LLE
32%
25%
43%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +3 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
SAL
1 - 1
CIE
67%
18%
15%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
CIE
4 - 2
LPA
55%
22%
24%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |