Lleida vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lleida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
FIG
1 - 1
LLE
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
LLE
1 - 0
PAL
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2003 |
LOR
1 - 2
LLE
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
LLE
1 - 0
MLL
58%
23%
20%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
GRA
5 - 0
LLE
46%
27%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
CAS
3 - 0
VIJ
64%
22%
15%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
ALI
1 - 1
CAS
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
CAS
3 - 1
NOV
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
GIR
1 - 1
CAS
39%
29%
33%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
CAS
1 - 0
YEC
67%
21%
13%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |