Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-5
Lleida vs Cádiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lleida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1989 |
MLL
3 - 0
LLE
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1989 |
LLE
1 - 2
MOL
74%
17%
8%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1989 |
LLE
0 - 0
ALZ
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1988 |
REC
2 - 0
LLE
62%
21%
16%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1988 |
LLE
0 - 1
CAS
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cádiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1989 |
CAD
0 - 2
MUR
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1989 |
ZAR
0 - 1
CAD
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1989 |
FCB
3 - 0
CAD
80%
14%
6%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1989 |
CAD
1 - 1
VAD
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1988 |
CAD
0 - 2
RMA
13%
24%
64%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |