Lleida vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
11%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
6.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lleida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1956 |
LLE
0 - 0
RAC
49%
22%
29%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1956 |
SPO
4 - 3
LLE
70%
17%
13%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
LLE
4 - 3
RAC
48%
23%
30%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
CAU
1 - 0
LLE
69%
17%
15%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1956 |
LLE
2 - 2
OSA
49%
23%
27%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
BUR
3 - 0
EIB
44%
23%
33%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1956 |
GIR
2 - 1
BUR
63%
20%
18%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1956 |
CDP
1 - 2
BUR
46%
23%
31%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1956 |
BUR
4 - 0
LAU
89%
8%
4%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1956 |
CDU
1 - 3
BUR
64%
19%
17%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |