Lleida vs Arosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
14%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14%
11.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lleida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
RCF
2 - 1
LLE
81%
11%
8%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
LLE
1 - 2
RAC
33%
21%
46%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1949 |
NUM
0 - 1
LLE
61%
18%
21%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
LLE
1 - 2
SPO
31%
25%
45%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
OSA
5 - 2
LLE
79%
12%
9%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
ARO
3 - 1
SDE
63%
18%
19%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
BAR
3 - 3
ARO
91%
6%
3%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
ARO
2 - 1
GIR
32%
26%
42%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
ARO
1 - 3
SGL
59%
18%
22%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
RCF
7 - 0
ARO
88%
8%
5%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | -1 |