Castelldefels vs FC Vilafranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
5º
16º
6º
30
6º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
88.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 50 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
8º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
98.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
11º
|
78.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
51.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
62.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
86.5% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelldefels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SCR
2 - 0
CAS
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 0
GIR
19%
24%
57%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +3 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 0
CAS
39%
25%
35%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 2
EUR
15%
24%
62%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
CER
0 - 0
CAS
69%
19%
12%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FC Vilafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
GIR
4 - 2
VIL
62%
22%
17%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 2
EUR
14%
23%
63%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MON
4 - 1
VIL
19%
23%
58%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 1
VIL
43%
26%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 2
PRA
20%
26%
54%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |