Castelldefels vs L´Hospitalet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
45.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
5º
16º
6º
48
2º
15º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
88.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 50 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
8º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
98.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
11º
|
78.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
51.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
62.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
86.5% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelldefels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
TON
2 - 1
CAS
37%
25%
38%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 4
UES
26%
27%
47%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 0
CAS
46%
25%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 0
BAD
33%
26%
41%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAS
31%
26%
42%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
L´Hospitalet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
HOS
1 - 2
UES
38%
26%
37%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BAD
0 - 1
HOS
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
HOS
1 - 0
SCR
46%
27%
27%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 3
HOS
27%
23%
50%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
HOS
1 - 0
RAP
74%
16%
11%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |