Castelldefels vs Girona FC B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
57.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
5º
16º
6º
42
5º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
88.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 50 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
8º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
98.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
11º
|
78.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
51.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
62.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
86.5% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelldefels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 0
CAS
39%
25%
35%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 2
EUR
15%
24%
62%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
CER
0 - 0
CAS
69%
19%
12%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 1
GIM
8%
22%
70%
|
30 | 60 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
LLE
11%
22%
67%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Girona FC B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
EUR
2 - 0
GIR
55%
25%
21%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
GIR
2 - 1
MON
78%
16%
6%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
GIR
0 - 1
BAD
27%
28%
46%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
OLO
1 - 1
GIR
62%
22%
16%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
SCR
0 - 1
GIR
41%
27%
33%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |