Avià vs Berga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.7%
15.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+102%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avià
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
UEA
3 - 2
SPM
90%
7%
3%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SAL
3 - 3
UEA
8%
13%
79%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
UEA
3 - 0
NAV
87%
9%
5%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
PIR
0 - 3
UEA
23%
20%
57%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
UEA
3 - 2
SUR
67%
17%
16%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Berga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
BER
2 - 0
VOL
80%
13%
7%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 0
BER
49%
22%
29%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
BER
2 - 1
SFC
84%
11%
5%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
CFR
3 - 1
BER
33%
23%
44%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BER
1 - 0
PUI
59%
21%
20%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |