Kurilovec vs NK Jarun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kurilovec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
VRA
2 - 1
NUK
13%
21%
66%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
NUK
0 - 1
TRN
58%
22%
19%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
KAR
3 - 2
NUK
11%
20%
70%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | -2 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
NGM
2 - 2
NUK
26%
24%
51%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
NUK
4 - 0
DUG
75%
17%
9%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
NK Jarun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
NKJ
4 - 0
DUG
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
LUK
5 - 0
NKJ
28%
25%
47%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
NKJ
1 - 0
SEG
84%
12%
5%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
TRE
0 - 2
NKJ
11%
19%
70%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
NKJ
2 - 0
PON
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |