Coppa Italia 1/32
Global 4-2
Udinese vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1991 |
UDI
1 - 1
MOD
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1991 |
MES
2 - 2
UDI
39%
30%
32%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1991 |
UDI
1 - 1
TRI
75%
17%
8%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1991 |
VER
2 - 0
UDI
53%
27%
20%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1991 |
UDI
2 - 2
BRE
73%
18%
9%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1991 |
PES
2 - 0
TRI
61%
25%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1991 |
TRI
2 - 3
REG
46%
28%
26%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1991 |
UDI
1 - 1
TRI
75%
17%
8%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1991 |
TRI
2 - 1
SAL
56%
26%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1991 |
USF
5 - 1
TRI
69%
20%
11%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |