Q. Europa League 3ra Ronda Final
Global 7-1
Udinese vs Siroki Brijeg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
SIR
1 - 3
UDI
28%
25%
48%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
QPR
1 - 2
UDI
23%
25%
52%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
LEV
3 - 0
UDI
59%
22%
19%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
INT
2 - 5
UDI
55%
22%
23%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
UDI
2 - 1
ATL
62%
22%
16%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Siroki Brijeg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
SIR
3 - 0
VEL
69%
20%
11%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
SIR
1 - 3
UDI
28%
25%
48%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
MLA
0 - 0
SIR
9%
25%
66%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
SIR
2 - 0
FCI
50%
24%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
FCI
3 - 2
SIR
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |