Udinese vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
28.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
INT
2 - 1
UDI
75%
17%
8%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
UDI
2 - 2
FIO
40%
30%
30%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
UDI
2 - 1
PES
58%
25%
17%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1979 |
FCC
1 - 1
UDI
59%
24%
16%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
UDI
0 - 2
BOL
53%
28%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
PRG
1 - 1
BOL
58%
26%
16%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
FCC
2 - 1
PRG
43%
29%
28%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
PRG
1 - 0
CAG
62%
24%
14%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1979 |
AVE
2 - 2
PRG
33%
33%
34%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
PRG
1 - 0
JUV
32%
31%
37%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |