Udinese vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1991 |
MES
2 - 2
UDI
39%
30%
32%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1991 |
UDI
1 - 1
TRI
75%
17%
8%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1991 |
VER
2 - 0
UDI
53%
27%
20%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1991 |
UDI
2 - 2
BRE
73%
18%
9%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
PAD
2 - 1
UDI
40%
29%
31%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1991 |
MOD
0 - 0
USC
47%
29%
24%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1991 |
REG
0 - 1
MOD
44%
29%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1991 |
MOD
0 - 0
PES
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1991 |
TAR
2 - 2
MOD
43%
29%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
MOD
2 - 2
VER
35%
30%
35%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |