Udinese vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
7.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
UDI
0 - 2
NAP
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1987 |
FIO
2 - 0
UDI
57%
23%
21%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1987 |
LIV
1 - 0
UDI
47%
23%
30%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
UDI
0 - 0
ACM
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
TOR
3 - 1
UDI
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
MOD
0 - 2
FIO
22%
26%
53%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1987 |
MOD
4 - 3
PAD
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1987 |
NAP
4 - 0
MOD
81%
13%
6%
|
54 | 85 | 31 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 1987 |
MOD
1 - 0
BOL
40%
31%
29%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1987 |
CAM
2 - 1
MOD
53%
28%
19%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |