Udinese vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
CAG
1 - 2
UDI
25%
26%
50%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
UDI
4 - 0
GEN
79%
13%
8%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
REG
1 - 4
UDI
23%
25%
52%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
UDI
1 - 0
ARZ
88%
8%
4%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1985 |
USC
2 - 0
UDI
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
ACM
3 - 1
ARZ
86%
10%
4%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
ACM
1 - 0
REG
87%
9%
4%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
CAG
0 - 1
ACM
24%
27%
50%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
GEN
2 - 2
ACM
28%
25%
47%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1985 |
SAM
2 - 1
ACM
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |