Udinese vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
52.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
ROM
4 - 0
UDI
77%
14%
9%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
BOL
2 - 1
UDI
74%
15%
11%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
UDI
2 - 1
JUV
14%
19%
67%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1961 |
LEC
2 - 1
UDI
50%
23%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
UDI
0 - 1
PAL
57%
24%
20%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
ACM
3 - 0
PAL
86%
10%
5%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
CAT
1 - 3
ACM
23%
24%
54%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
ACM
4 - 1
VIC
82%
11%
6%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
ACM
4 - 1
SPA
79%
13%
8%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
TOR
1 - 1
ACM
32%
24%
44%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | -1 |