Udinese vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
51%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1953 |
PRO
2 - 3
UDI
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1953 |
UDI
1 - 3
ATL
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
UDI
0 - 2
BOL
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
SAM
1 - 1
UDI
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
SPA
3 - 0
UDI
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 1953 |
REI
3 - 0
ACM
49%
22%
29%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1953 |
ACM
4 - 3
SCP
57%
19%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1953 |
ATL
1 - 1
ACM
28%
24%
48%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1953 |
ACM
1 - 1
BOL
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
ACM
5 - 1
TOR
81%
11%
8%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |