Udinese vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
PAL
2 - 0
UDI
54%
23%
24%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
UDI
0 - 3
ACM
22%
27%
51%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2006 |
ATL
1 - 2
UDI
36%
27%
37%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
UDI
3 - 1
CAG
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
CAT
1 - 0
UDI
30%
26%
44%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
MES
1 - 1
ROM
18%
24%
58%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
FIO
4 - 0
MES
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2006 |
MES
1 - 1
PAR
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
INT
2 - 0
MES
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 93 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
ATL
3 - 2
MES
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |