Udinese vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1963 |
FCC
2 - 1
UDI
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1963 |
UDI
1 - 1
USA
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
UDI
2 - 2
SSS
67%
21%
13%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
LAZ
2 - 0
UDI
52%
23%
25%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
PAR
1 - 2
UDI
40%
28%
33%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1963 |
PRO
4 - 0
ASL
63%
22%
15%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1963 |
ASL
0 - 2
USF
43%
25%
33%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
ASL
1 - 3
BAR
37%
30%
33%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
COS
1 - 1
ASL
60%
20%
20%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
ASL
3 - 0
TRI
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +2 |