Udinese vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
8.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1995 |
VER
0 - 1
UDI
30%
28%
43%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1995 |
ASL
3 - 3
UDI
28%
28%
44%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1995 |
UDI
0 - 0
PAL
72%
18%
10%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1995 |
ANC
1 - 3
UDI
41%
27%
33%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1995 |
UDI
1 - 1
COM
82%
13%
5%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1995 |
LEC
3 - 1
CHI
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1995 |
PAL
2 - 0
LEC
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1995 |
LEC
1 - 1
ASL
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1995 |
COS
2 - 1
LEC
54%
26%
19%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1995 |
LEC
0 - 1
ATL
32%
29%
39%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | -1 |