Udinese vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
16.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
BRE
2 - 2
UDI
51%
28%
21%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
UDI
1 - 0
SSS
61%
25%
14%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
GEN
2 - 1
UDI
70%
20%
11%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
UDI
2 - 0
USF
43%
30%
27%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1978 |
VAR
2 - 2
UDI
50%
29%
21%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
LEC
1 - 0
SPA
54%
28%
18%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
CAG
5 - 1
LEC
73%
18%
9%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
USF
2 - 0
LEC
65%
23%
12%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
LEC
2 - 1
BAR
56%
28%
16%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1978 |
SSS
0 - 0
LEC
46%
32%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |