Udinese vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
22.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1940 |
UDI
4 - 1
PAR
63%
18%
18%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1938 |
TRE
1 - 0
UDI
34%
23%
43%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1940 |
VER
3 - 1
VIC
65%
18%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1938 |
FIO
4 - 0
VER
41%
24%
36%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 1929 |
REG
4 - 3
VER
49%
20%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 1929 |
VER
0 - 4
FIO
45%
23%
33%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1929 |
VER
1 - 2
PIS
74%
15%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |