Udinese vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1954 |
UDI
1 - 2
UNI
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1954 |
BOL
3 - 1
UDI
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
UDI
0 - 2
INT
29%
25%
46%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
ATL
6 - 0
UDI
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
UDI
3 - 3
NAP
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1954 |
GEN
1 - 3
INT
26%
25%
49%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
GEN
3 - 1
LAZ
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
UNI
1 - 1
GEN
60%
21%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
GEN
1 - 0
PAL
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
SAM
0 - 0
GEN
66%
20%
15%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |