Coppa Italia Semi-finals
Global 2-3
Udinese vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
34.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
BOL
0 - 2
UDI
36%
26%
39%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 0
UDI
45%
25%
31%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
ACM
1 - 2
UDI
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
UDI
2 - 3
LAZ
43%
27%
31%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2014 |
SAM
3 - 0
UDI
35%
26%
40%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
CAG
1 - 0
FIO
29%
27%
44%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
FIO
3 - 3
GEN
76%
16%
9%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
FIO
2 - 1
SIE
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CAT
0 - 3
FIO
25%
27%
48%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 0
FIO
30%
27%
44%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |