Udinese vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
UDI
2 - 0
ZEN
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
ROM
1 - 1
UDI
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
UDI
2 - 0
LEC
61%
22%
18%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2009 |
UDI
2 - 1
LPO
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
TOR
1 - 0
UDI
32%
26%
42%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
CAT
0 - 3
SIE
51%
27%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
PAL
0 - 4
CAT
64%
21%
16%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
CAT
2 - 0
REG
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 1
CAT
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CAT
1 - 2
JUV
20%
25%
56%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |