Udinese vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.4%
10.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
FAN
1 - 5
UDI
35%
24%
41%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
UDI
2 - 2
USA
74%
14%
11%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
MOD
3 - 1
UDI
39%
24%
38%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
UDI
1 - 0
VIC
77%
13%
10%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
VER
0 - 1
UDI
51%
21%
29%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
SPE
3 - 0
CAT
69%
17%
15%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
SPE
1 - 0
SIR
75%
14%
11%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
PIS
1 - 1
SPE
57%
20%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
NAP
1 - 5
SPE
69%
17%
14%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
SPE
1 - 0
REG
47%
22%
31%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |