Udinese vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
14.8%
13.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 1958 |
UDI
0 - 1
TRI
70%
17%
14%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1958 |
UDI
3 - 1
RAV
80%
11%
9%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1958 |
UDI
0 - 1
ACM
80%
12%
7%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1958 |
TRI
2 - 2
UDI
48%
23%
29%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1958 |
RAV
1 - 0
UDI
20%
19%
61%
|
79 | 48 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
VAR
2 - 0
VIG
64%
17%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
VAR
4 - 2
UNI
67%
17%
17%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
SER
1 - 0
VAR
29%
22%
49%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1938 |
VAR
0 - 2
BIE
43%
23%
34%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1938 |
VAR
2 - 1
PRO
52%
22%
26%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |