Udinese vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
INT
1 - 1
UDI
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
UDI
1 - 2
PAL
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
ACM
2 - 3
UDI
72%
18%
10%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
UDI
2 - 3
ATL
51%
25%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
CAG
2 - 1
UDI
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
BAR
1 - 2
PIS
61%
25%
14%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
BAR
2 - 0
VIC
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
BAR
1 - 0
ABN
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
VER
4 - 2
BAR
46%
28%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
BAR
1 - 0
JUV
12%
22%
67%
|
63 | 90 | 27 | +1 |