Udinese vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ACM
2 - 0
UDI
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
UDI
1 - 1
CHI
70%
19%
11%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 1
UDI
42%
25%
33%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
UDI
2 - 4
GEN
62%
22%
17%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
FIO
3 - 0
UDI
61%
21%
17%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CES
0 - 3
GEN
29%
28%
43%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CES
1 - 1
SAM
26%
29%
45%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CHI
2 - 1
CES
48%
29%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2014 |
CES
1 - 1
VER
28%
27%
45%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
ROM
2 - 0
CES
83%
12%
5%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |