UD Ibarra Sub 19 vs Mensajero Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
45%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
7º
16º
15º
35
9º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
88 | 88 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
21 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Ibarra Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
PTO
0 - 1
UDA
33%
22%
45%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
UDA
0 - 0
TNF
6%
13%
81%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SFE
2 - 1
UDA
40%
23%
38%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
UDA
1 - 0
UNI
13%
17%
69%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
LGR
2 - 2
UDA
43%
22%
35%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mensajero Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MEN
0 - 1
JUV
26%
23%
51%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
MEN
2 - 0
JUV
20%
21%
59%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CDL
2 - 1
MEN
60%
20%
20%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MEN
1 - 0
MAS
50%
23%
28%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
LPM
5 - 0
MEN
96%
3%
1%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | 0 |