Pavia U19 vs Almería U19 B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.7%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
81.7%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.9%
0-4
8%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.8%
0-5
4.6%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.4%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
9º
15º
11º
58
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 15 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CDC
0 - 3
PAV
54%
21%
26%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
PAV
0 - 1
CBA
22%
21%
57%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
VER
3 - 1
PAV
52%
21%
27%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Almería U19 B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
UDA
2 - 3
LAC
70%
18%
13%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ATJ
0 - 6
UDA
16%
18%
67%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
UDA
4 - 1
SAN
84%
11%
5%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
UDA
19 - 0
LCA
87%
9%
4%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
DHS
1 - 5
UDA
6%
13%
81%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | 0 |