Pavia U19 vs La Cañada Atlético Sub 19 B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
38.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
8º
13º
13º
34
11º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CDO
1 - 2
PAV
41%
22%
37%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
PAV
2 - 2
GRA
18%
20%
62%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 2
PAV
43%
22%
35%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
PAV
3 - 2
MAL
20%
20%
61%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
UDA
3 - 3
PAV
76%
14%
10%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
La Cañada Atlético Sub 19 B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
UCD
6 - 0
CFR
35%
21%
44%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LAM
2 - 0
UCD
68%
17%
15%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
UCD
0 - 2
UDM
28%
24%
49%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
UCD
1 - 1
CDO
72%
16%
12%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
GRA
1 - 0
UCD
63%
19%
19%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |