Pavia U19 vs CD Puerto Malagueño Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
58.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
9º
15º
11º
54
5º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 15 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
UDA
2 - 1
PAV
81%
12%
7%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
PAV
3 - 1
CDC
56%
20%
25%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CBA
1 - 0
PAV
80%
13%
8%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
PAV
3 - 2
VER
57%
20%
23%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
PAV
1 - 1
CDT
32%
22%
45%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Puerto Malagueño Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MAL
2 - 1
LAC
56%
20%
23%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ATJ
1 - 2
MAL
22%
20%
58%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MAL
3 - 1
SAN
35%
22%
44%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 1
MAL
74%
15%
11%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
MAL
2 - 0
LID
76%
14%
10%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | +1 |