Pavia U19 vs La Mosca Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
47.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
8º
13º
13º
52
1º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
UCD
1 - 2
PAV
43%
22%
35%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
PAV
0 - 0
CDO
66%
17%
17%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
GRA
2 - 1
PAV
54%
20%
26%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
PAV
4 - 1
SAN
47%
21%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MAL
6 - 0
PAV
74%
15%
11%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
La Mosca Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
LAM
4 - 1
CFR
62%
18%
20%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
UDM
3 - 0
LAM
40%
23%
38%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
UCD
0 - 0
LAM
24%
21%
55%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
LAM
3 - 1
CDO
77%
14%
9%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 3
LAM
51%
21%
28%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |