Pavia U19 vs CD Santa Fe U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
31.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+102%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
8º
13º
13º
32
12º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MAL
6 - 0
PAV
74%
15%
11%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
PAV
1 - 2
UDA
19%
18%
63%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
HIS
1 - 0
PAV
21%
20%
60%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
PAV
1 - 0
MCF
22%
21%
58%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CDT
3 - 1
PAV
54%
21%
26%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CD Santa Fe U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 0
CFR
36%
22%
43%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
LAM
4 - 0
SAN
58%
20%
23%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 1
UCD
60%
19%
21%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CDO
1 - 4
SAN
34%
22%
44%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 1
GRA
19%
21%
60%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |